Medvedev Learned His PR Skills From Chavez
- By Vladimir Frolov
- Nov. 17 2008 00:00
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It is hard to understand why, after so much preparation, Medvedev's team managed to deliver such a disastrous act of public diplomacy.
The speech was purposely delayed to Nov. 5 to give Medvedev an opportunity to send a signal to President-elect Barack Obama several hours after his election victory was announced. Medvedev's team deliberated for some time whether Medvedev should send Obama a warm, handwritten note or an impersonal diplomatic cable. They wound up sending him a public ultimatum on missile defense. "It was an almost caricature case of the Kremlin being tone-deaf," said one prominent Russia analyst in the United States.
If the intention was to signal the Kremlin's willingness to re-engage the United States under the new administration, then the Iskander missile threat and the failure by Medvedev to immediately congratulate Obama directly was really dumb.
Medvedev's clueless speech, filled with lots of U.S.-bashing, made it much more difficult for those on Obama's team who argued that the relationship with Russia, badly bungled by the administration of President George W. Bush, needed the priority attention to be repaired.
Medvedev's Iskander threat sounded like an attempt to publicly blackmail Obama out of missile-defense deployments in Poland and the Czech Republic. By laying down this marker, Medvedev unintentionally made it much more difficult for Obama to back down from the missile-defense deployments. To cancel the project now would be tantamount for him to buckling to Moscow's pressure -- something that U.S. presidents are not too fond of doing. Moreover, blackmailing a U.S. president-elect is not the best way to improve U.S.-Russian relations.
Medvedev took a page right out of Soviet leader Yury Andropov's book by threatening to place missiles on the country's western borders. Many Russian specialists in Washington believe that Medvedev's threats make him sound like President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad or Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez.
In a few months, Medvedev's Kremlin will encounter a tightly knit and efficient Obama administration. Medvedev needs much better advice to hold his ground with Obama in public diplomacy. Right now he is clueless in Moscow.
Vladimir Frolov is president of LEFF Group, a government relations and PR company.