Obama's Skin Color and Other Myths
- By Boris Kagarlitsky
- Nov. 14 2008 00:00
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I suspect that this type of statement would be considered racist in the West. At the very least, it is dead wrong. Blacks have never constituted a majority in the United States, and even if the Latino population were added, the aggregate sum would still represent a minority of voters. The truth is that the majority of Americans who voted for Obama were not black.
Not only do our pundits have a distorted view of what is happening overseas, they are detached from domestic realities as well. Most public opinion surveys indicate that the Obamamania that swept Western Europe has also seized Russia -- at least as far as the general population is concerned. In a survey conducted by the pro-Kremlin Internet newspaper Vzglyad, about 80 percent of respondents said they would have voted for Obama had they been able to participate in the U.S. presidential election.
Most Russians view Obama as a politician who offers a new opportunity to improve U.S.-Russian relations. The only caveat is if Obama picks his future Cabinet from the group of hawkish foreign policy advisers who were part of his election campaign. If this happens, it would likely mean a continuation of the same cold bilateral relations that we have experienced over the past eight years.
But Obama will surely pick a broad range of foreign policy specialists, many of whom will be realists who share his views on a multilateral approach to global affairs in general and U.S.-Russian relations in specific. In this way, Obama's victory marks a radical turning point in politics. He has no other choice now but to pursue a new course and to bring the American people along for the ride.
This applies to social and economic areas as well. Even if his chief economic advisers are zealots of laissez-faire economics, Obama will still be forced to continue the interventionist policies that President George W. Bush's administration adopted during the outbreak of the financial crisis, if only because other options don't exist.
Americans intuitively understood the need for change and renewal, and they responded to it at the voting booth. Now the battle begins over exactly what changes need to be implemented.
By contrast, Russians are more afraid of change, and there is nothing in the air to indicate that they see a necessity for sweeping reforms. But as a result of the drop in global oil prices and the country's financial difficulties, which will only get worse in 2009, there is clearly an objective need for fundamental change.
In these volatile conditions, it is the Russian elite, as well as the country's analysts and ideologues, who are the least prepared for serious changes.
Boris Kagarlitsky is the director of the Institute of Globalization Studies. Word's Worth by Michele A. Berdy will return to this spot next week.